There is no such thing as a certainty in footy.
Or is there?
We’ve had certainties for Friday night footy, but with eight other games remaining in Round 20, we’ve taken a close look to come up with one certainty for each team for the remaining matches.
Take a look at our certainties for the rest of the weekend’s action.
Collingwood v Port Adelaide
Adams for 20+ disposals and 3+ clearances
Taylor Adams was a welcome addition to the Magpies’ midfield in the thrilling win over Essendon.
After returning from concussion protocols, Adams racked up 28 touches and was one of very few Pies to influence the stoppages, with seven clearances to help set up the iconic win.
Averaging 23.4 disposals in his 16 appearances this season, Adams has only dipped below 20 touches on two occasions – the most recent was back on Anzac Day in Round 5. He’s also going at an average of 5+ clearances to boot.
Put the vice-captain down for 20+ touches and watch him go hard at the stoppages against Port this week.
Marshall to kick multiple goals
Todd Marshall has delivered consistently for Port this year, already with a career-best 38 goals to his name (and counting), in his sixth season at Alberton.
The former first-round pick is likely to have Darcy Moore for company on Saturday, who despite the Magpies’ current run of form, is leaking goals to opposition key forwards. Peter Wright, Taylor Walker, Mabior Chol, Jesse Hogan have kicked three, five, three and four goals respectively on Moore since the bye.
With Charlie Dixon and Jeremy Finlayson combining for a makeshift ruck combination, the 23-year-old Marshall is the Power’s most likely avenue to goal if they are going to kick a winning score, and finally end the Pies’ hot streak.
Sydney v GWS
Mills with 25+ disposals
Callum Mills has been on an absolute tear that dates back to the start of last season.
A textbook magnet for football, the Sydney co-captain has only had two games with less than 20 possessions since 2020.
This will be the second Battle of the Bridge this season, with the Swans securing a 20-point victory in Round 1.
In that game, Mills collected 21 possessions in what was a solid effort, however he didn’t really kick into gear until the week after.
Now on an absolute roll, the midfielder is certain to have a massive impact in the Sydney Derby.
Mills is averaging exactly 25 disposals for the year, expect him to exceed that mark against the Giants.
Greene to kick 2+ goals
The superstar Giants forward is going to shine on the SCG.
Despite Greater Western Sydney’s disappointing year, Greene’s goalkicking form has been stellar.
The All-Australian is averaging 2.5 goals per game, good for the eighth-most in the AFL, however, the six games he missed due to suspension prevented him from challenging in the Coleman Medal race.
Even with this absence, Greene has a hefty lead as the Giant’s leading goalkicker, carrying a heavy load for a side that has struggled to score all year.
Greene has had multiple goals in nine games this season, and it wouldn’t be a surprise if he adds one more against the Swans.
St Kilda v Hawthorn
Membrey kicks 2+ goals
What better way to celebrate 150 AFL games than with multiple goals?
A club staple since 2015, Tim Membrey has played in countless high-stakes games for the Saints.
Now with St Kilda’s finals hopes on the line once again, a big performance is needed from the vice-captain.
Membrey is averaging 1.5 goals per game this season and will have a prime opportunity to boost that average against a Hawks side that has allowed plenty of points this year.
The forward was stellar the last time he took on Hawthorn, booting four goals in an early-season matchup.
Now with the St Kilda’s back against the wall once more, Membrey will certainly look to repeat that performance.
Mitchell to have 25+ disposals, 2+ inside 50s
If there’s one thing that’s certain in football, it’s Tom Mitchell getting plenty of touches.
The Brownlow Medalist is in the midst of his eighth-straight season averaging over 25 possessions a game, an unbelievable stat led by his ability to win the contested football.
St Kilda is a side that manages to take care of the football, so the midfielder’s ball-magnet prowess will go a long way in keeping Hawthorn in the contest.
Despite their uncompetitive first two-thirds of the season, the Hawks have won three in a row, with Mitchell playing a key role in the side’s significantly improved performance.
If Hawthorn are going to spoil St Kilda’s final aspirations, expect Mitchell to have his hands all over the football.
Geelong v Western Bulldogs
Hawkins and Cameron to combine for 5+ goals
Geelong’s biggest strength is their forward line and the Bulldogs’ biggest weakness is their defense and the Cats will be hoping to exploit that matchup on Saturday night.
Geelong talls Jeremy Cameron and Tom Hawkins have been in ripping form in recent weeks, with combined returns of 23 goals across the last month.
Considering the Bulldogs will be undermanned down back, expect the dynamic pairing to have plenty of chances in front of goal, particularly at home.
With Alex Keath omitted, it could get ugly for Luke Beveridge’s side inside defensive 50.
Bontempelli to kick a goal and have 20+ disposals
Bulldogs captain Marcus Bontempelli has recaptured his best form in the last fortnight, kicking three goals and having 60 combined disposals in his side’s two recent wins.
The superstar is known as one of the best goal-kicking midfielders in the competition, and he’d expect to hit the scoreboard again given that he has in 16 of his 17 games this year.
With a goal almost guaranteed, Bontempelli should breeze his way to 25 disposals, particularly given his current form.
He and his teammates will need him to have a big impact if they’re to upset the Cats in Geelong.
Adelaide v Carlton
Laird to have 30+ disposals and 5+ tackles
Rory Laird averages 33.8 disposals per game and eight tackles this season.
When the Crows played Carlton earlier in the season, I picked up 33 and laid seven.
He has been the benchmark of consistency this season. Expect Laird to comfortably rack up 30 disposals against the Blues.
McKay and Curnow combine for 8+ goals
When Carlton faced Adelaide earlier in the season, Curnow and McKay combined for nine goals and dominated Jordon Butts and Nick Murray.
With Tom Doedee out, the Crows backline isn’t at full strength and you can expect the Carlton key forwards to feast.
The Blues should win comfortably and with that will come goals for McKay and Curnow
Gold Coast v West Coast
Hollands to kick at least one goal
Elijah Hollands had to wait a long time for his AFL debut, but looked up to the level last weekend.
In the loss to Brisbane, Hollands kicked 2.1 from 10 disposals with three tackles.
In his second outing against West Coast this weekend, expect him to hit the scoreboard again.
We’re going with Hollands to kick at least one goal against the Eagles.
Redden to have 20+ disposals
Jack Redden has been a consistent performer for West Coast this year.
He is averaging a tick under 22 disposals across 17 games and leads the way at the Eagles for most total disposals in 2022.
The 31-year-old has dipped under 20 touches just three times this year and in his last four against the Suns has averaged 22.25.
On Sunday he should be helping himself to at least 20 disposals.
Richmond v Brisbane
Edwards to kick a goal
Few players have risen to the occasion like Shane Edwards.
The 33-year-old is playing his 300th game against Brisbane and will look to live up to his standards of his last 16 years at the top level.
He’s gone goalless in his last two games but had hit the scoreboard in six of the previous seven games. Given the role he plays, you can bet his teammates will be looking to get him the footy and celebrate the big moment.
Go on Shedda, get it done!
Brisbane to kick 80+ points
Their woes at the MCG have been well noted, but the Lions should kick at least 80 points against Richmond on recent form.
Chris Fagan boasts the league’s best offense, with his side finding more avenues to goal than most throughout 2022.
Brisbane have lost their last 10 at the ‘G and were wiped out by the Demons at this ground in Round 15. As is usually the case, it’s likely not all to do with the ground, yet it does cause some concerns.
However, they won’t get a better chance to put their hoodoo behind them. Richmond have allowed other teams to score quickly in 2022, as Fagan will know.
If Brisbane are genuine contenders, they’ll be able to kick at least 12 goals and get past 80 points on Sunday.
Essendon v North Melbourne
Stringer to kick 2+ goals
Jake Stringer is starting to find some form, kicking four goals against Gold Coast two weeks ago and he is likely to feast on a struggling North Melbourne side at Marvel Stadium.
After an injury interrupted season, Stringer is back in this Bombers side and has now had enough time under his belt to find his stride.
Expect a big performance against the Roos from the dynamic half forward-midfielder.
Davies-Uniacke for 25 disposals
Luke Davies-Uniacke has hit at least 25 disposals in all but one game since the bye for the Kangaroos.
His breakout for them has been one of the highlights of their season and he continues to go from strength to strength.
Against an Essendon midfield that isn’t at full power, expect Davies-Uniacke to find plenty of the footy.