Putin set his house on fire. A merciless rebellion is set

Russians know it’s only a matter of time before Putin closes the borders to keep the men from escaping. They know that from now on the uniformed men will hunt all the young men in the streets. Putin set his house on fire. A merciless rebellion is set.

Comment by Prof. Evgeniy Dainov to Deutsche Welle:

By announcing the mobilization, Putin broke the social contract with his people. The price will pay yet.

Vladimir Putin was tolerated for so long not only because of his successful propaganda, which detached Russians from reality. The Russians tolerated him because they had an unspoken social contract with him that suited them. This contract read more or less as follows: I will gradually deprive you of your rights and freedoms, in return for which I will provide you with a gradual inclusion in the consumer society.

Deal with the devil

The Russians readily accepted this treaty for two reasons. The first: even at the peak of the “liberal” 1990s, demographic surveys revealed at the time, less than 10 percent were those Russians for whom individual rights and freedoms were something important. And since one thing is not important to you, why not sacrifice it for something that is?

This important thing is the second reason for accepting the treaty with Putin. Real Russians are not those spiritual creatures elevated above the material, as patriotic propaganda paints them to be. They are the most materialistic creatures in the world. And they are like that, since they have never led a life decently arranged in terms of material conditions.

Here’s the story in a nutshell. After the upheavals of 1917, which ended in the Bolshevik coup, the Russians were told: “Go ahead, because we must make a world revolution.” When it didn’t work, Stalin told the Russians: “Keep going, because we have to prepare for war with the West.” After this war, the authorities once again announced to the Russian people: “Hold on, wait for the bright future, because we are building the foundations of communism.”

Only after 1968, frightened by the rise of the Czechs and Poles in the name of freedom, did the Soviet leaders tell their people: “From now on, you will not suffer deprivation for the sake of the future, because we will provide you with a better and better life.” However, this did not work, as the Soviet economy began to collapse, and the government spent more and more money on armaments (to maintain its superpower status), on supporting Western communist parties (to weaken the enemy from within), and on armed forces in Africa and Latin America to wage war against the West instead of the USSR.

The sudden anti-Communism that gripped Russians in the early 1990s was largely explained by the fact that they had run out of patience to wait for the good life promised by the Communists. But even then the good life did not work out, as these same communists stole the country’s resources.

Therefore, after 90 years of waiting, Russians easily signed the social contract in Putin, by virtue of which they exchanged rights and freedoms for inclusion in the consumer lifestyle. Finally, they began to have things: apartments, laundromats, cars, vacations “in the West.”

It was precisely this contract that Putin destroyed by announcing the mobilization – and the Russians knew it in a second. They are perfectly aware that the mobilization cannot remain “partial” – not in Russia, where (as the philosopher Berdyaev also notes) partial solutions do not thrive and the rule is “all or nothing”.

Russians know that it is only a matter of time before Putin closes the country’s borders so that men fit to bear arms do not escape. The Russians know that the announced criteria for the mobilization will not be respected at all. Instead of conscripting men with military experience, the uniformed will simply hunt down any young men they see on the streets – as they have long done on the territory of the Luhansk and Donetsk “republics”.

It’s going to get ugly from here on out

The Russians realize perfectly well that 20 years ago they made a deal with the devil: they sold their souls for a handful of coins that are already evaporating before their eyes. And the soul is long gone.

From now on, Putin will get a revolt of the lied to. And since they have already sold their souls, this rebellion will not remain within the framework of behavior that we might recognize as civilized civil protest. Putin will have nothing to do with “yellow vests” or the “Occupy!” movement. It won’t happen immediately, but eventually he will face that ancient Russian rebellion that the poet Pushkin called “senseless and merciless.”

Unless, of course, before it erupts, someone in the Kremlin resolves the matter in the same way that after Stalin’s death the members of the Politburo resolved Beria’s claims to take all power: with a shot to the forehead.

One thing is clear: whatever happens from here on out, it’s going to be very, very ugly.

This comment expresses the personal opinion of the author. It may not coincide with the positions of the Bulgarian editorial office and Deutsche Welle as a whole.

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