ISW: Russia will not be able to defend itself against even a limited Ukrainian attack in Kherson

ISW: Russia will not be able to defend itself against even a limited Ukrainian attack in Kherson

Ukrainian forces continue to try to cut Russian land supply lines by striking the Kakhovka bridge – the only one the occupiers can still use.

According to a new report by the US Institute for the Study of War (ISW), Russian forces cannot sustain large-scale mechanized operations without reliable land lines in the Kherson region.

“Transporting ammunition, fuel and heavy equipment in sufficient quantities for offensive or even large-scale defensive operations via pontoon crossings or by air is impractical, if not impossible. If Ukrainian forces destroy all three bridges and succeed in preventing the Russians from restoring functionality, of any of them for an extended period of time, Russian forces on the west bank of the Dnieper would likely lose their ability to defend against even limited Ukrainian counterattacks,” the report said.

ISW lists signs of deteriorating supply to the Russian military related to the disruption of Russian land supply lines:

Lack of fuel and ammunition among Russian troops in the western part of the Kherson region;


Abandoned Russian vehicles;

A reduction in the intensity and cessation of Russian ground and artillery attacks;

It is possible that the cases of robberies by Russians will increase;

Increase in reports from Russian soldiers of supply shortages;

Increasing number of Russian prisoners of war captured by Ukrainian forces;

Lack of new heavy equipment delivered to the western part of Kherson region.

Earlier, British intelligence reported that the Russian occupiers could not use the two main road bridges to supply the group on the west bank of the Dnieper River in the Kherson region. As a result, all supplies for the Russian troops numbering several thousand depend on two pontoon crossings.

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